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SPECIAL SESSIONS



1 NATECH Hazards and Risk Assessment


Chairs

Dr. Bastien Affeltranger, Email: bastien.affeltranger@ineris.fr
Accidental Risks Division, National Institute for Industrial Environment and Risks (INERIS, France)
Dr. Elisabeth Krausmann, Email: elisabeth.krausmann@jrc.it
Major Accident Hazards Bureau, European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC, Italy)

Topics

Systems analysis, Risk analysis and assessment, Disaster mitigation, Lessons learning

Abstract

Natural-hazard triggered technological accidents, or NATECHs, reveal a particular vulnerability of industrial facilities to natural hazards. This has been confirmed, in the recent past, by events such as the 1999 Izmit earthquake, the 2002 floods in France, Hurricane Katrina in 2004 (USA) and the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake (Sichuan, PRC). All these events had a severe impact on the chemical industry, as well as on critical infrastructures, and they all have resulted in structural damage, the release of hazardous materials and business interruption.
For risk experts, NATECH events are an invitation to revisit existing expertise and practice in risk analysis and assessment, emergency response and post-event lessons learned (forensics). This should be done from a multi-disciplinary perspective. Learning lessons from past accidents is a useful means to increase our knowledge. This requires a ¡°forensic¡± type of investigation that is not systematically conducted after Natech accidents. In some cases, the methodology for doing so remains relatively weak. Last but not least, whenever such an investigation is conducted, lessons learned are still not fully shared in the community of risk practicioners.
Despite a worldwide growing body of research and more stringent regulations for the design and operation of industrial activities in areas prone to natural hazards, NATECHs remain a threat. This is partly due to the limited data available on the dynamics of NATECH accidents. Moreover, it is to be expected that climate change can increase the intensity and frequency of hydrometeorological events which may in turn increase the likelihood of industrial accidents. Additional research and the development of tools are therefore needed to better assess the NATECH hazard and the vulnerability of industrial facilities to natural hazards.

Potential Speakers

Indicative list of organisations:
INERIS, JRC, FOEN (Switzerland), Bogazici University (Turkey), Syracuse University (USA), Beijing Normal University (PRC), Bologna University (Italy), Italian National Research Council etc, CONPRICI.



2 Urban Disaster Prevention and Risk Management


Chairs

Prof. Guofang Zhai, Email: guofang.zhai@gmail.com
Department of Urban & Regional Planning, Nanjing University (China)
Masaru Matsumoto, Email: masaru.matsumoto@tokiomarine.com.cn
Tokio Marine & Nichido Fire Insurance Co., Ltd (Japan)

Topics

Urban disaster prevention, Risk management

Abstract

The disastrous Wenchuan earthquake in Sichuan Province on May 12 caused huge life and economic losses to the province and surrounding areas in China. How to reduce urban disaster damages through risk management has been become one of the most significant tasks of urban managers not only in the developed countries like in Japan and United Stated, but also in the developing countries such as in China. As a follow-up workshop on Wenchuan Earthquake in RAC2008, a special session proposed here on Urban Disaster Prevention and Risk Management aims to discuss urban disaster prevention measures from the perspectives of risk management, and so on.

Potential Speakers

4-6 speakers from China and abroad




3 Fuzzy Risk Management in Decision Making

Chair

Prof. Cengiz Kahraman, Email: kahramanc@itu.edu.tr
Istanbul Technical University (Turkey)

Topics

This session covers the following topics related fuzzy theory but not limited to:
1. The latest theory and methodology on risk analysis and crisis response
2. Uncertainty and risk analysis
3. Risk analysis of natural disasters
4. Financial risk management
5. Political risk insurance and commercial risk insurance
6. Risk management for critical infrastructure protection
7. Intelligent information systems in risk analysis and crisis management
8. Hybrid methods for risk management
9. Process and system¡¯s risk management
10. Artificial Intelligence and Expert Systems in risk management application,
11. Other related topics

Abstract

Decision-making is the cognitive process of selecting a course of action from multiple alternatives. Fuzzy decision-making originates from the ideas proposed by Bellman and Zadeh (1970), who introduced the concepts of fuzzy constraints, fuzzy objective and fuzzy decision. Fuzzy decision-making deals with non-probabilistic uncertainty and vagueness in the environment in which the decision-making takes place. Fuzzy set approaches to decision-making are usually most appropriate when human evaluations and the modeling of human knowledge are needed. A rational approach toward decision-making should take human subjectivity into account, rather than employing only objective probability measures.

Potential Speakers

Pending

Prof. Kahraman is calling for papers on this special session. For those who are interested, please download the document (PDF)for more details.
Submissions of abstracts and papers for special sessions should go to corresponding organizers and the RACR2009@gmail.com mailbox simultaneously.

4 Integrated Risk Management of Emerging Risks (iNTeg-Risk)


Chair

Prof. Aleksandar Jovanovic , Email: jovanovic@eu-vri.eu
European Virtual Institute for Integrated Risk Management (EU-VRi, Germany)
Olivier Salvi, Email: salvi@eu-vri.eu
European Virtual Institute for Integrated Risk Management (EU-VRi, Germany)

Topics

Integrated Risk Management of Emerging Risks (iNTeg-Risk)

Abstract

iNTeg-Risk is a large-scale integrating project aimed at improving the management of emerging risks in the innovative industry. This will be achieved by building a new risk management paradigm for emerging risks, which is a set of principles supported by a common language, commonly agreed tools & methods and Key Performance Indicators integrated into a single framework. As main impact, it will reduce time-to-market for the lead market EU technologies and promote safety, security, environmental friendliness and social responsibility as a trade-mark of the advanced EU technologies. The project will improve early recognition and monitoring of emerging risks, seek to reduce accidents caused by them (estimated 75 B€/year EU27) and decrease reaction times if major accidents involving emerging risks happen. iNTeg-risk will reach its goals by promoting a EU-wide cross-sectorial life-cycle-based integration across all major disciplines, methods and tools as well as through integration of all relevant stakeholders. The project will be initiated from an empirical basis of 17 individual emerging risk issues (Emerging Risk Representative industrial Applications), and generalize their solutions addressing new technologies, products/materials, production and policies. The solutions will be validated in a second application cycle, and the overall solution made available to stakeholders in the form of the iNTeg-Risk platform: a ¡±one-stop shop¡± for EU solutions addressing emerging risks. It will feature issues of early recognition and monitoring of emerging risks, communication, governance, pre-standardization, education & training, dissemination, as well as new tools such as Safetypedia, Atlas of Emerging Risks, Reference Library... The project has a solid industry leadership and involves the leading EU R&D institutions. It is coordinated by the European Virtual Institute for Integrated Risk Management, the EEIG guaranteeing the sustainability of the results after the project.
The project will be described by 2 presentations presenting the basis and the objectives of the project:

  • O. Salvi: From Shape-Risk to iNTeg-Risk
  • A. Jovanovic: iNTeg-Risk project : Providing the Basis for a Harmonized EU Response to the Challenges of New Technologies.
  • Chongfu Huang : Links between iNTeg-Risk and Chinese Programmes.

After the presentation, a discussion as a round table will be organised with participants of the projects present at RACR2009 and with the audience interested to interact with the project partners, mainly the audience made of Chinese scientists.

Potential Speakers

List of organisations:
EU-VRi, INERIS, Beijing Normal University (PRC)

5 Agricultural Disaster Risk Management

Chair

Prof. Maosong Li, Email: limaos818@sina.com
Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences. (IEDA, CASS China)

Topics

Crop yield risk analysis and assessment, Agricultural disaster assessment, Agricultural disaster risk transfer

Abstract

China is a typical natural disaster prone country. Extreme weather events and natural disasters can have devastating impacts on agriculture in China. Through risk management can mitigate and transfer agricultural natural disaster loss. Agricultural insurance is one of the effective measures for agriculture risk management. In developed countries, where agricultural products are often insured. From 2004, China government gradually paid more attention to the policy agricultural insurance. At present, some joint international projects on agricultural risk management have been implemented in China. As an aim of widely communicating the progress in these projects, a special session proposed here on Agricultural Disaster Risk Management to discuss crop yield risk analysis and assessment, agricultural disaster assessment, agricultural disaster risk transfer and so on.

Potential Speakers

Maosong Li, Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, CASS, China
Qiao Zhang, Agriculture Information Institute, CASS, China
Buchun Liu, Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, CASS, China
Dawei Zheng, China Agriculture University, China
Guozhu Tuo, Capital Trade and Economic University
Zhiguo Huo, China Meteorological Administration, China
Ulrich Hess, World Food Program, United Nations
Andrea Stoppa, World Food Program, United Nations
Sandro Calmanti, World Food Program, United Nations
Yukiyasu Sumi, World Food Program, United Nations
Williams Dick, World Bank
Alasdair Cohen, World Food Program, United Nations
Weijing Wang, World Food Program, United Nations

 



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